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Gold Signals Gone Wild
Gold Signals seem to be popping up
everywhere this week in our collection of gold exchange traded funds.
This is a quick gold sector updated on the current price action of some of the
best gold exchange traded funds.
How to Find Low Risk High Return Gold Signals
First step is to have a GOAL, Then
FIND what trading tools are needed to fit your trading goals.
My Trading Goals
First - My focus is to wait for high probability trades. I do not want to
make any more trades than I need to. More Trades = More Risk for my hard earned
money. Waiting for a high probability trade is difficult but must be done to
generate consistent profits. I wait for gold to find a support or resistance
level then look for gold signals in my hand picked collection of gold exchange
traded funds like GLD, DGP, GDX and many more…
Secondly – I don’t like to hold stocks or funds any longer than I need
to. Most of my trades are short term and only last 2-10 days. Some trades last
1-2 months if gold is making a large move but this is something that only
happens every now and then.
Thirdly – My goal is to make 2-5% on each trade and I am happy. With
10-20 trades per year at 5% it’s not a bad return on investment.
Last – Once I am in a trade and it looks like our position is about to
roll over, I will lock in some profits by selling some of the position to
capture a higher % profit. This is crucial if you want to consistently make
money trade after trade.
Find the Best Trading Tools for Reaching the Goal
Experience has proven that the
following tools and rules allow me to not only find accurate gold signals but to
minimize overall risk and increase the average profit per trade. This took a
long time to fine tune, but it all came back to the basic indicators and
technical analysis we all learn day one of trading. The only difference is that
I have a Goal, Tools and Dedication to Follow Through with my trading model.
My Trading Tools
MACD
- A popular technical indicator system that combines several moving averages to
better show a stock's trend and momentum.
Price Relative - Technical indicator that compares the performance of two
gold exchange traded funds to each other by dividing their price data.
Breakout Buy Signal – This is when the price of an exchange traded fund
closes above our resistance trend line and the MACD cross’ to the upside
confirming the trend line break. This is the first requirement for a tradable
bounce.
Breakout Sell Signal - This is when the price of an exchange traded fund
closes below our support trend line and the MACD cross’ to the downside
confirming the trend line break. This is the first requirement for a tradable
breakdown.
Upside Reversal – When the price of a fund closes higher than the
previous days high.
Downside Reversal – When the price of a fund closes lower than the
previous days low.
Maximum 3% Risk Trading Rule
– I do not enter any trade in GLD, GDX, ASA, XGD.TO that has more than 3% risk.
This actually allows me to miss several trades, which would end up losing.
This trading model is simple. Enter
a position when we have a low risk setup, and exit on a trend line break. It’s
best not to enter a trade if risk is more than 3%.
Gold Miners Index - Multi Year Trend Chart

Currently bouncing off support,
which increases the probability that we could have a nice rally.
Gold Bugs Index – Monthly Gold Signal Trend Chart

The Monthly Gold Bugs chart is
trying to give us a sell signal, but gold stocks are making a strong push
higher.
$HUI: $GOLD Ratio Chart – Weekly
Gold Signals

Looks like the price of gold stocks
have corrected and ready for rally
Gold Bugs Index – Daily Gold Signals

The HUI is my barometer to gauge the
strength of a potential gold trade.
GLD Gold Exchange Traded Fund – Gold Trading Signal

GLD is a low risk trading vehicle
providing the best win/lose ratio of any other fund I have traded.
DGP Exchange Traded Fund – Gold Trading Signal

DGP is a leveraged gold ETF
providing twice the price movement of GLD.
GDX Exchange Traded Fund – Gold Trading Signal

This gold exchange traded fund holds
a basket of gold stocks.
XGD.TO Canadian Exchange Traded Fund – Gold Trading Signal

Gold exchange traded fund for
Canadian traders.
Finding low risk trading signals is
a simple process but entering at the right time is the key.
Conclusion:
Gold’s recent price action has not been easy for most traders. Above are
the basics of what I look for when looking for gold signals and trading.
If you have any questions please contact me through
www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com.
Chris
Vermeulen is Founder of the popular trading site
www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com.
There he shares his highly successful, low-risk trading method. For 6 years
Chris has been a leader in teaching others to skillfully trade in gold, oil, and
silver in both bull and bear markets. Subscribers to his service depend on
Chris' uniquely consistent investment opportunities that carry exceptionally low
risk and high return. Reach Chris at: Chris [at] theGoldAndOilGuy [dot] com
This article is
intended solely for information purposes. The opinions are those of the author
only. Please conduct further research and consult your financial advisor before
making any investment/trading decision. No responsibility can be accepted for
losses that may result as a consequence of trading on the basis of this
analysis.
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